Candidate Analysis
Loading... Please Wait
based on: 2012 Top Races House and SenateYou have 30 candidates in your selected Profile Position Totals:
Support |
Oppose |
Neutral |
0 |
0 |
30 |
House |
Kagan, D. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: repkagan@gmail.com   | Capitol Email: repkagan@gmail.com   | 303-866-2921 | Finance, Judiciary | November 1: Kagan's big move is to throw his own money into the campaign pot: $39,000 to cover mail and canvassing. He's put about $20,000 into mail and $15,000 into door-to-door work with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. That's a huge investment, and he still has $35,000 plus left to Watson's $7000. Both candidates must figure they're going to win - Kagan because he kicked in $39,000 and Watson because he doesn't need more money; or Kagan and Watson know they're at the end of their rope - Kagan because he put $39,000 in to get over the finish line and Watson because he's tapped out. Watson can count on Republican enthusiasm and momentum. It will show up most in his Cherry Hills community. Kagan will count on GOTV through his own team and Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Each side knows exactly who's voted, and how those votes compare to their voter ID. Each candidate knows which voters have to get to the polls. Dems need this seat and have put lots of resources into Kagan. Watson has his own resources. This race will have much higher than the 62.4% turnout from 2010, which leaned 1.4% Dem. The spread favors Kagan slightly, and neither candidate will leave any vote unvoted. Favors Kagan
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 300 | | | $39,462.58 | 303-866-2921 | Finance, Judiciary | November 1: Kagan's big move is to throw his own money into the campaign pot: $39,000 to cover mail and canvassing. He's put about $20,000 into mail and $15,000 into door-to-door work with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. That's a huge investment, and he still has $35,000 plus left to Watson's $7000. Both candidates must figure they're going to win - Kagan because he kicked in $39,000 and Watson because he doesn't need more money; or Kagan and Watson know they're at the end of their rope - Kagan because he put $39,000 in to get over the finish line and Watson because he's tapped out. Watson can count on Republican enthusiasm and momentum. It will show up most in his Cherry Hills community. Kagan will count on GOTV through his own team and Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Each side knows exactly who's voted, and how those votes compare to their voter ID. Each candidate knows which voters have to get to the polls. Dems need this seat and have put lots of resources into Kagan. Watson has his own resources. This race will have much higher than the 62.4% turnout from 2010, which leaned 1.4% Dem. The spread favors Kagan slightly, and neither candidate will leave any vote unvoted. Favors Kagan
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 300 | | George Washington University; Yale University | $201,110.58 | George Washington University; Yale University | $201,110.58 | State Personal | Votes | | George Washington University; Yale University | $201,110.58 | $39,462.58 | | House | House | Donors | $39,462.58 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 300 | | Capitol Email: repkagan@gmail.com   | 303-866-2921 | Finance, Judiciary | November 1: Kagan's big move is to throw his own money into the campaign pot: $39,000 to cover mail and canvassing. He's put about $20,000 into mail and $15,000 into door-to-door work with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. That's a huge investment, and he still has $35,000 plus left to Watson's $7000. Both candidates must figure they're going to win - Kagan because he kicked in $39,000 and Watson because he doesn't need more money; or Kagan and Watson know they're at the end of their rope - Kagan because he put $39,000 in to get over the finish line and Watson because he's tapped out. Watson can count on Republican enthusiasm and momentum. It will show up most in his Cherry Hills community. Kagan will count on GOTV through his own team and Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Each side knows exactly who's voted, and how those votes compare to their voter ID. Each candidate knows which voters have to get to the polls. Dems need this seat and have put lots of resources into Kagan. Watson has his own resources. This race will have much higher than the 62.4% turnout from 2010, which leaned 1.4% Dem. The spread favors Kagan slightly, and neither candidate will leave any vote unvoted. Favors Kagan
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
| a-Neutral | 0 | House | Registration
.9+R
Performance
1.8+D
Cherry Creek,
Englewood,
Greenwood Village,
Littleton, Sheridan
32541 voters
62.4% 2010 turnout | A-House | Donors | $201,110.58 | $39,462.58 | State Personal | Votes | November 1: Kagan's big move is to throw his own money into the campaign pot: $39,000 to cover mail and canvassing. He's put about $20,000 into mail and $15,000 into door-to-door work with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. That's a huge investment, and he still has $35,000 plus left to Watson's $7000. Both candidates must figure they're going to win - Kagan because he kicked in $39,000 and Watson because he doesn't need more money; or Kagan and Watson know they're at the end of their rope - Kagan because he put $39,000 in to get over the finish line and Watson because he's tapped out. Watson can count on Republican enthusiasm and momentum. It will show up most in his Cherry Hills community. Kagan will count on GOTV through his own team and Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Each side knows exactly who's voted, and how those votes compare to their voter ID. Each candidate knows which voters have to get to the polls. Dems need this seat and have put lots of resources into Kagan. Watson has his own resources. This race will have much higher than the 62.4% turnout from 2010, which leaned 1.4% Dem. The spread favors Kagan slightly, and neither candidate will leave any vote unvoted. Favors Kagan
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
|
House |
Watson, R. () |
|
Capitol Email: brian@watsonforcolorado.com   | Capitol Email: brian@watsonforcolorado.com   | 303-893-9500 | | November 1: Watson has gone all in. He's down to $7000. He put $19,000+ into mail and $10,000 into Custom Direct, which prints ballots for counties. He's the risk taker who's not going to leave anything on the table. He's finally slowed fundraising, bringing in only $6500 in the reporting period. Kagan has pitched in $39,000 of his own money to boost his campaign coffers. Like many other Dems, Kagan is putting dollars into canvassing and mail. Watson has the easier GOTV effort, but lots of Kagan signs have turned up between University Ave. and Broadway and in Englewood and Sheridan where many of the voters are less affluent than Watson's Cherry Hills neighborhoods. So even though Watson has the Republican GOTV advantage, and has had a money advantage all along, Kagan's visibility has increased and he has plenty of cash to finish this race out. To complicate matters, outsiders are putting in plenty of money via mailers, etc., into the race. Kagan's self funding may be a show of confidence (if he wins, he can fundraise himself back to solvency), a last ditch effort to keep himself affloat, or a combination. Watson is either tapped out or figures he has this race in the can. Right now, Kagan has the advantage with his canvassing effort getting out every single identified voter and the performance numbers leaning slightly his way. Favors Kagan
| a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 2601 East Garden Lane | | | $7,944.69 | 303-893-9500 | | November 1: Watson has gone all in. He's down to $7000. He put $19,000+ into mail and $10,000 into Custom Direct, which prints ballots for counties. He's the risk taker who's not going to leave anything on the table. He's finally slowed fundraising, bringing in only $6500 in the reporting period. Kagan has pitched in $39,000 of his own money to boost his campaign coffers. Like many other Dems, Kagan is putting dollars into canvassing and mail. Watson has the easier GOTV effort, but lots of Kagan signs have turned up between University Ave. and Broadway and in Englewood and Sheridan where many of the voters are less affluent than Watson's Cherry Hills neighborhoods. So even though Watson has the Republican GOTV advantage, and has had a money advantage all along, Kagan's visibility has increased and he has plenty of cash to finish this race out. To complicate matters, outsiders are putting in plenty of money via mailers, etc., into the race. Kagan's self funding may be a show of confidence (if he wins, he can fundraise himself back to solvency), a last ditch effort to keep himself affloat, or a combination. Watson is either tapped out or figures he has this race in the can. Right now, Kagan has the advantage with his canvassing effort getting out every single identified voter and the performance numbers leaning slightly his way. Favors Kagan
| a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 2601 East Garden Lane | | University of Colorado | $255,776.13 | University of Colorado | $255,776.13 |  Personal | | | University of Colorado | $255,776.13 | $7,944.69 | | House | House | Donors | $7,944.69 | 2601 East Garden Lane | | Capitol Email: brian@watsonforcolorado.com   | 303-893-9500 | | November 1: Watson has gone all in. He's down to $7000. He put $19,000+ into mail and $10,000 into Custom Direct, which prints ballots for counties. He's the risk taker who's not going to leave anything on the table. He's finally slowed fundraising, bringing in only $6500 in the reporting period. Kagan has pitched in $39,000 of his own money to boost his campaign coffers. Like many other Dems, Kagan is putting dollars into canvassing and mail. Watson has the easier GOTV effort, but lots of Kagan signs have turned up between University Ave. and Broadway and in Englewood and Sheridan where many of the voters are less affluent than Watson's Cherry Hills neighborhoods. So even though Watson has the Republican GOTV advantage, and has had a money advantage all along, Kagan's visibility has increased and he has plenty of cash to finish this race out. To complicate matters, outsiders are putting in plenty of money via mailers, etc., into the race. Kagan's self funding may be a show of confidence (if he wins, he can fundraise himself back to solvency), a last ditch effort to keep himself affloat, or a combination. Watson is either tapped out or figures he has this race in the can. Right now, Kagan has the advantage with his canvassing effort getting out every single identified voter and the performance numbers leaning slightly his way. Favors Kagan
| a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
.9+R
Performance
1.8+D
Cherry Creek,
Englewood,
Greenwood Village,
Littleton, Sheridan
32541 voters
62.4% 2010 turnout | A-House | Donors | $255,776.13 | $7,944.69 |  Personal | | November 1: Watson has gone all in. He's down to $7000. He put $19,000+ into mail and $10,000 into Custom Direct, which prints ballots for counties. He's the risk taker who's not going to leave anything on the table. He's finally slowed fundraising, bringing in only $6500 in the reporting period. Kagan has pitched in $39,000 of his own money to boost his campaign coffers. Like many other Dems, Kagan is putting dollars into canvassing and mail. Watson has the easier GOTV effort, but lots of Kagan signs have turned up between University Ave. and Broadway and in Englewood and Sheridan where many of the voters are less affluent than Watson's Cherry Hills neighborhoods. So even though Watson has the Republican GOTV advantage, and has had a money advantage all along, Kagan's visibility has increased and he has plenty of cash to finish this race out. To complicate matters, outsiders are putting in plenty of money via mailers, etc., into the race. Kagan's self funding may be a show of confidence (if he wins, he can fundraise himself back to solvency), a last ditch effort to keep himself affloat, or a combination. Watson is either tapped out or figures he has this race in the can. Right now, Kagan has the advantage with his canvassing effort getting out every single identified voter and the performance numbers leaning slightly his way. Favors Kagan
|
House |
Barker, M. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: mark.barker.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: mark.barker.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-3069 leg, 719-339-8265 cand | Transportation | October 18: Barker spent $13,250 and has $28,434 left. The remainder leaves Barker competitive, but Exum has spent substantially more at the front end of the race. Barker laid down $7,829.49 on mailers to Advantage Marketing, put $1600 into a commercial using Aztec Media, and bought $3,402 from Comcast in commercial time. Normally, Barker wouldn't sweat the Colorado Springs market, but this district has really been cut to help the Democrat. The end game will count mostly on a GOTV effort, as only 51% voted in 2010. Given that Obama has a huge GOTV effort all over the state, and Romney can count on the local Republican party, the voting rate will likely be higher than in a non-presidential year. That usually helps Democrats. Exum has run up a $30,000 total dollar plus over Barker, but Barker has a Major Contribution form sitting on the Sec. of State site without naming the donor or the amount, so who knows. Right now, Advantage Exum | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 323 | | | $28,007.26 | 303-866-3069 leg, 719-339-8265 cand | Transportation | October 18: Barker spent $13,250 and has $28,434 left. The remainder leaves Barker competitive, but Exum has spent substantially more at the front end of the race. Barker laid down $7,829.49 on mailers to Advantage Marketing, put $1600 into a commercial using Aztec Media, and bought $3,402 from Comcast in commercial time. Normally, Barker wouldn't sweat the Colorado Springs market, but this district has really been cut to help the Democrat. The end game will count mostly on a GOTV effort, as only 51% voted in 2010. Given that Obama has a huge GOTV effort all over the state, and Romney can count on the local Republican party, the voting rate will likely be higher than in a non-presidential year. That usually helps Democrats. Exum has run up a $30,000 total dollar plus over Barker, but Barker has a Major Contribution form sitting on the Sec. of State site without naming the donor or the amount, so who knows. Right now, Advantage Exum | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 323 | | Chapman University; University of Denver | $68,780.+($2,334.)ln | Chapman University; University of Denver | $68,780.+($2,334.)ln | State Personal | Votes | | Chapman University; University of Denver | $68,780.+($2,334.)ln | $28,007.26 | | House | House | Donors | $28,007.26 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 323 | | Capitol Email: mark.barker.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-3069 leg, 719-339-8265 cand | Transportation | October 18: Barker spent $13,250 and has $28,434 left. The remainder leaves Barker competitive, but Exum has spent substantially more at the front end of the race. Barker laid down $7,829.49 on mailers to Advantage Marketing, put $1600 into a commercial using Aztec Media, and bought $3,402 from Comcast in commercial time. Normally, Barker wouldn't sweat the Colorado Springs market, but this district has really been cut to help the Democrat. The end game will count mostly on a GOTV effort, as only 51% voted in 2010. Given that Obama has a huge GOTV effort all over the state, and Romney can count on the local Republican party, the voting rate will likely be higher than in a non-presidential year. That usually helps Democrats. Exum has run up a $30,000 total dollar plus over Barker, but Barker has a Major Contribution form sitting on the Sec. of State site without naming the donor or the amount, so who knows. Right now, Advantage Exum | a-Neutral | 0 | House | Registration
2.6+D
Performance
3.8+R
S. Co Spgs
Broadmoor
22898 voters
51.8 % turnout
| F-House | Donors | $68,780.+($2,334.)ln | $28,007.26 | State Personal | Votes | October 18: Barker spent $13,250 and has $28,434 left. The remainder leaves Barker competitive, but Exum has spent substantially more at the front end of the race. Barker laid down $7,829.49 on mailers to Advantage Marketing, put $1600 into a commercial using Aztec Media, and bought $3,402 from Comcast in commercial time. Normally, Barker wouldn't sweat the Colorado Springs market, but this district has really been cut to help the Democrat. The end game will count mostly on a GOTV effort, as only 51% voted in 2010. Given that Obama has a huge GOTV effort all over the state, and Romney can count on the local Republican party, the voting rate will likely be higher than in a non-presidential year. That usually helps Democrats. Exum has run up a $30,000 total dollar plus over Barker, but Barker has a Major Contribution form sitting on the Sec. of State site without naming the donor or the amount, so who knows. Right now, Advantage Exum |
House |
Exum Sr., T. () |
|
Capitol Email: tony@tonyexum.com   | Capitol Email: tony@tonyexum.com   | 719-661-4910 | | October 18: Exum has put another $17,975 into mailings through Mad Dog Mail. He's using the Colorado Springs media people, Newell-Ledbetter Advertising for commercial spots. He has $22,352 left for the final two weeks. If he uses some of those dollars on GOTV, along with the Obama effort, he should be able to carry through to a victory. Mrs. Obama was in his district not too long ago, which has probably given him a boost with the military in his area. Barker hasn't specified any major contribution, though he has the form up on the Sec. of State site. Has the GOP decided to come through for Barker? Will it be too little, too late? Right now, the report is incomplete. Advantage Exum | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 3672 Iguana Drive | | | $9,803.76 | 719-661-4910 | | October 18: Exum has put another $17,975 into mailings through Mad Dog Mail. He's using the Colorado Springs media people, Newell-Ledbetter Advertising for commercial spots. He has $22,352 left for the final two weeks. If he uses some of those dollars on GOTV, along with the Obama effort, he should be able to carry through to a victory. Mrs. Obama was in his district not too long ago, which has probably given him a boost with the military in his area. Barker hasn't specified any major contribution, though he has the form up on the Sec. of State site. Has the GOP decided to come through for Barker? Will it be too little, too late? Right now, the report is incomplete. Advantage Exum | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 3672 Iguana Drive | | | $85,520.74 | | $85,520.74 |  Personal | | | | $85,520.74 | $9,803.76 | | House | House | Donors | $9,803.76 | 3672 Iguana Drive | | Capitol Email: tony@tonyexum.com   | 719-661-4910 | | October 18: Exum has put another $17,975 into mailings through Mad Dog Mail. He's using the Colorado Springs media people, Newell-Ledbetter Advertising for commercial spots. He has $22,352 left for the final two weeks. If he uses some of those dollars on GOTV, along with the Obama effort, he should be able to carry through to a victory. Mrs. Obama was in his district not too long ago, which has probably given him a boost with the military in his area. Barker hasn't specified any major contribution, though he has the form up on the Sec. of State site. Has the GOP decided to come through for Barker? Will it be too little, too late? Right now, the report is incomplete. Advantage Exum | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
2.6+D
Performance
3.8+R
S. Co Spgs
Broadmoor
22898 voters
51.8 % turnout
| F-House | Donors | $85,520.74 | $9,803.76 |  Personal | | October 18: Exum has put another $17,975 into mailings through Mad Dog Mail. He's using the Colorado Springs media people, Newell-Ledbetter Advertising for commercial spots. He has $22,352 left for the final two weeks. If he uses some of those dollars on GOTV, along with the Obama effort, he should be able to carry through to a victory. Mrs. Obama was in his district not too long ago, which has probably given him a boost with the military in his area. Barker hasn't specified any major contribution, though he has the form up on the Sec. of State site. Has the GOP decided to come through for Barker? Will it be too little, too late? Right now, the report is incomplete. Advantage Exum |
House |
George, J. () |
|
Capitol Email: jennifer@jennifergeorgecolorado.com   | Capitol Email: jennifer@jennifergeorgecolorado.com   | 719-577-4384 | | November 4: George doubled down on her media buys, competing with Obama and Romney for air time in Colorado Springs. She's running $37000 in ads and $17,000 mail. This contrasts with Lee who's made the big bet on door-to-door canvassing. George will have her own free investment in canvassing because the GOP is by-passing the Exum-Barker race in south CO Spgs in favor of putting an attractive, youngish, social-issue ambiguous woman in place. This is a tough bet as the district leans Dem at 64.6% turnout. The GOP must have done a calculation that says that a higher turnout will assist their party. But the +7 Dem performance came in Colorado Springs in 2010, a tough year for Democrats. Lee has the professional canvassers from Rocky MOuntain Voter Outreach. This race should be a little easier for the Dems on turnout than the Kagan-Watson race. Favors Lee | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | P.O. Box 60818 | | | $22,402.06 | 719-577-4384 | | November 4: George doubled down on her media buys, competing with Obama and Romney for air time in Colorado Springs. She's running $37000 in ads and $17,000 mail. This contrasts with Lee who's made the big bet on door-to-door canvassing. George will have her own free investment in canvassing because the GOP is by-passing the Exum-Barker race in south CO Spgs in favor of putting an attractive, youngish, social-issue ambiguous woman in place. This is a tough bet as the district leans Dem at 64.6% turnout. The GOP must have done a calculation that says that a higher turnout will assist their party. But the +7 Dem performance came in Colorado Springs in 2010, a tough year for Democrats. Lee has the professional canvassers from Rocky MOuntain Voter Outreach. This race should be a little easier for the Dems on turnout than the Kagan-Watson race. Favors Lee | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | P.O. Box 60818 | | | $162,427.84 | | $162,427.84 |  Personal | | | | $162,427.84 | $22,402.06 | | House | House | Donors | $22,402.06 | P.O. Box 60818 | | Capitol Email: jennifer@jennifergeorgecolorado.com   | 719-577-4384 | | November 4: George doubled down on her media buys, competing with Obama and Romney for air time in Colorado Springs. She's running $37000 in ads and $17,000 mail. This contrasts with Lee who's made the big bet on door-to-door canvassing. George will have her own free investment in canvassing because the GOP is by-passing the Exum-Barker race in south CO Spgs in favor of putting an attractive, youngish, social-issue ambiguous woman in place. This is a tough bet as the district leans Dem at 64.6% turnout. The GOP must have done a calculation that says that a higher turnout will assist their party. But the +7 Dem performance came in Colorado Springs in 2010, a tough year for Democrats. Lee has the professional canvassers from Rocky MOuntain Voter Outreach. This race should be a little easier for the Dems on turnout than the Kagan-Watson race. Favors Lee | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
.7+R
Performance
7.2+D
Manitou Springs
S Co Spgs
39771 voters
64.6% 2010 turnout | A1-House | Donors | $162,427.84 | $22,402.06 |  Personal | | November 4: George doubled down on her media buys, competing with Obama and Romney for air time in Colorado Springs. She's running $37000 in ads and $17,000 mail. This contrasts with Lee who's made the big bet on door-to-door canvassing. George will have her own free investment in canvassing because the GOP is by-passing the Exum-Barker race in south CO Spgs in favor of putting an attractive, youngish, social-issue ambiguous woman in place. This is a tough bet as the district leans Dem at 64.6% turnout. The GOP must have done a calculation that says that a higher turnout will assist their party. But the +7 Dem performance came in Colorado Springs in 2010, a tough year for Democrats. Lee has the professional canvassers from Rocky MOuntain Voter Outreach. This race should be a little easier for the Dems on turnout than the Kagan-Watson race. Favors Lee |
House |
Lee, P. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: pete.lee.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: pete.lee.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2932, 719-460-2834 | Judiciary, Local Government | November 4: Lee continues his bets on mail and canvassing door-to-door. He's thrown $20,000 to the Mad Dogs and $12,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. His bet is that door-to-door in a +7 Dem performance race will win. George is betting on tv and mail. Let's assume that the mail cancels each other out - Lee will be painted as a tax and spend liberal and George will be painted as a woman who won't reveal her positions on reproductive issues. That leaves a lot of tv commercial media v door-to-door. TV media gives credibility to candidates. Door-to-door makes politics more personal. Many in both parties think the margin of victory will be a razor's edge. Performance #s give Dems slight edge - Favors Lee. | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 307 | | | $19,600.67 | 303-866-2932, 719-460-2834 | Judiciary, Local Government | November 4: Lee continues his bets on mail and canvassing door-to-door. He's thrown $20,000 to the Mad Dogs and $12,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. His bet is that door-to-door in a +7 Dem performance race will win. George is betting on tv and mail. Let's assume that the mail cancels each other out - Lee will be painted as a tax and spend liberal and George will be painted as a woman who won't reveal her positions on reproductive issues. That leaves a lot of tv commercial media v door-to-door. TV media gives credibility to candidates. Door-to-door makes politics more personal. Many in both parties think the margin of victory will be a razor's edge. Performance #s give Dems slight edge - Favors Lee. | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 307 | | Ohio Wesleyan University/University of Akron Law | $152,387.+$3000 ln | Ohio Wesleyan University/University of Akron Law | $152,387.+$3000 ln | State Personal | Votes | | Ohio Wesleyan University/University of Akron Law | $152,387.+$3000 ln | $19,600.67 | | House | House | Donors | $19,600.67 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 307 | | Capitol Email: pete.lee.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2932, 719-460-2834 | Judiciary, Local Government | November 4: Lee continues his bets on mail and canvassing door-to-door. He's thrown $20,000 to the Mad Dogs and $12,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. His bet is that door-to-door in a +7 Dem performance race will win. George is betting on tv and mail. Let's assume that the mail cancels each other out - Lee will be painted as a tax and spend liberal and George will be painted as a woman who won't reveal her positions on reproductive issues. That leaves a lot of tv commercial media v door-to-door. TV media gives credibility to candidates. Door-to-door makes politics more personal. Many in both parties think the margin of victory will be a razor's edge. Performance #s give Dems slight edge - Favors Lee. | a-Neutral | 0 | House | Registration
.7+R
Performance
7.2+D
Manitou Springs
S Co Spgs
39771 voters
64.6% 2010 turnout | A1-House | Donors | $152,387.+$3000 ln | $19,600.67 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Lee continues his bets on mail and canvassing door-to-door. He's thrown $20,000 to the Mad Dogs and $12,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. His bet is that door-to-door in a +7 Dem performance race will win. George is betting on tv and mail. Let's assume that the mail cancels each other out - Lee will be painted as a tax and spend liberal and George will be painted as a woman who won't reveal her positions on reproductive issues. That leaves a lot of tv commercial media v door-to-door. TV media gives credibility to candidates. Door-to-door makes politics more personal. Many in both parties think the margin of victory will be a razor's edge. Performance #s give Dems slight edge - Favors Lee. |
House |
Everett, J. () |
|
Capitol Email: JUSTIN@EVERETTFORCOLORADO.COM   | Capitol Email: JUSTIN@EVERETTFORCOLORADO.COM   | 303-552-0489 | | October 18: Everett dropped $9,687 on Ariss Marketing for a mailing. And to make himself really popular, he put almost $600 into robocalls through Political Calls Now, at 2.7 cents per 30 second message per call. He has strong support from Jefferson County Republican Women's Club, based on their $100 donation this period. His largest donation is $500 from himself. Mary Parker has steadily walked her way through the district twice. Everett has missed every debate except the one scheduled at his church and a COHOPE picnic in the summer. One might think he's taking the district for granted. He may get away with it, but not for lack of trying on Parker's part. Good performance numbers for Everett give him an advantage, but hard work and actually talking to constituents may turn this Parker's way. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | P.O. BOX 271848 | | | $6,594.80 | 303-552-0489 | | October 18: Everett dropped $9,687 on Ariss Marketing for a mailing. And to make himself really popular, he put almost $600 into robocalls through Political Calls Now, at 2.7 cents per 30 second message per call. He has strong support from Jefferson County Republican Women's Club, based on their $100 donation this period. His largest donation is $500 from himself. Mary Parker has steadily walked her way through the district twice. Everett has missed every debate except the one scheduled at his church and a COHOPE picnic in the summer. One might think he's taking the district for granted. He may get away with it, but not for lack of trying on Parker's part. Good performance numbers for Everett give him an advantage, but hard work and actually talking to constituents may turn this Parker's way. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | P.O. BOX 271848 | | Chapman College, CU Denver | $42,427.+1,914. ln | Chapman College, CU Denver | $42,427.+1,914. ln |  Personal | | | Chapman College, CU Denver | $42,427.+1,914. ln | $6,594.80 | | House | House | Donors | $6,594.80 | P.O. BOX 271848 | | Capitol Email: JUSTIN@EVERETTFORCOLORADO.COM   | 303-552-0489 | | October 18: Everett dropped $9,687 on Ariss Marketing for a mailing. And to make himself really popular, he put almost $600 into robocalls through Political Calls Now, at 2.7 cents per 30 second message per call. He has strong support from Jefferson County Republican Women's Club, based on their $100 donation this period. His largest donation is $500 from himself. Mary Parker has steadily walked her way through the district twice. Everett has missed every debate except the one scheduled at his church and a COHOPE picnic in the summer. One might think he's taking the district for granted. He may get away with it, but not for lack of trying on Parker's part. Good performance numbers for Everett give him an advantage, but hard work and actually talking to constituents may turn this Parker's way. | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
14.7+R
Performance
13.8+R
Columbine
Ken Caryl
45757 voters
70.5% turnout | I-House | Donors | $42,427.+1,914. ln | $6,594.80 |  Personal | | October 18: Everett dropped $9,687 on Ariss Marketing for a mailing. And to make himself really popular, he put almost $600 into robocalls through Political Calls Now, at 2.7 cents per 30 second message per call. He has strong support from Jefferson County Republican Women's Club, based on their $100 donation this period. His largest donation is $500 from himself. Mary Parker has steadily walked her way through the district twice. Everett has missed every debate except the one scheduled at his church and a COHOPE picnic in the summer. One might think he's taking the district for granted. He may get away with it, but not for lack of trying on Parker's part. Good performance numbers for Everett give him an advantage, but hard work and actually talking to constituents may turn this Parker's way. |
House |
Parker, M. () |
|
Capitol Email: MKPARKER02@AOL.COM   | Capitol Email: MKPARKER02@AOL.COM   | 720-981-2907 | | October 18: Parker continues to walk through the district. She's on round two and people remember her from round one. She's ID'd her voters and has made her final appeal as the ballots drop. She hasn't had the money of many Dem campaigns, which is what happens when you're in a hard to win district. But she's had loyal volunteers who've been walking with her six out of seven days. She's checked out 3A/3B addresses to ensure she's included all those voters on her ID list. Everett has come out against the school initiatives. She'll need help from Jeffco Dems to get out the vote, but she has a strong team working for her, with solid technology to help. Parker needs to turn a lot of unaffiliateds her way and grab some Republican women who will like her for her pro-choice positions. She put in $5000 for a 30,000 piece literature drop making a personal appeal based on Everett's inattention to the district this summer and fall. This race is Everett's to lose, because he hasn't done much to win it. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 11506 W COOPER PL | | | $2,399.84 | 720-981-2907 | | October 18: Parker continues to walk through the district. She's on round two and people remember her from round one. She's ID'd her voters and has made her final appeal as the ballots drop. She hasn't had the money of many Dem campaigns, which is what happens when you're in a hard to win district. But she's had loyal volunteers who've been walking with her six out of seven days. She's checked out 3A/3B addresses to ensure she's included all those voters on her ID list. Everett has come out against the school initiatives. She'll need help from Jeffco Dems to get out the vote, but she has a strong team working for her, with solid technology to help. Parker needs to turn a lot of unaffiliateds her way and grab some Republican women who will like her for her pro-choice positions. She put in $5000 for a 30,000 piece literature drop making a personal appeal based on Everett's inattention to the district this summer and fall. This race is Everett's to lose, because he hasn't done much to win it. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 11506 W COOPER PL | | University of Maryland | $33,053.45 | University of Maryland | $33,053.45 |  Personal | | | University of Maryland | $33,053.45 | $2,399.84 | | House | House | Donors | $2,399.84 | 11506 W COOPER PL | | Capitol Email: MKPARKER02@AOL.COM   | 720-981-2907 | | October 18: Parker continues to walk through the district. She's on round two and people remember her from round one. She's ID'd her voters and has made her final appeal as the ballots drop. She hasn't had the money of many Dem campaigns, which is what happens when you're in a hard to win district. But she's had loyal volunteers who've been walking with her six out of seven days. She's checked out 3A/3B addresses to ensure she's included all those voters on her ID list. Everett has come out against the school initiatives. She'll need help from Jeffco Dems to get out the vote, but she has a strong team working for her, with solid technology to help. Parker needs to turn a lot of unaffiliateds her way and grab some Republican women who will like her for her pro-choice positions. She put in $5000 for a 30,000 piece literature drop making a personal appeal based on Everett's inattention to the district this summer and fall. This race is Everett's to lose, because he hasn't done much to win it. | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
14.7+R
Performance
13.8+R
Columbine
Ken Caryl
45757 voters
70.5% turnout | I-House | Donors | $33,053.45 | $2,399.84 |  Personal | | October 18: Parker continues to walk through the district. She's on round two and people remember her from round one. She's ID'd her voters and has made her final appeal as the ballots drop. She hasn't had the money of many Dem campaigns, which is what happens when you're in a hard to win district. But she's had loyal volunteers who've been walking with her six out of seven days. She's checked out 3A/3B addresses to ensure she's included all those voters on her ID list. Everett has come out against the school initiatives. She'll need help from Jeffco Dems to get out the vote, but she has a strong team working for her, with solid technology to help. Parker needs to turn a lot of unaffiliateds her way and grab some Republican women who will like her for her pro-choice positions. She put in $5000 for a 30,000 piece literature drop making a personal appeal based on Everett's inattention to the district this summer and fall. This race is Everett's to lose, because he hasn't done much to win it. |
House |
Enstrom, R. () |
|
Capitol Email: rick@rickenstrom.com   | Capitol Email: rick@rickenstrom.com   | 303-986-3188 | | November 4: Enstrom continues to hit Tyler hard through Majority STrategies/Next Wave Communications. The GOP has apparently pulled its financial support from Attwood and is piling on in the Enstrom race. It may be too late. Mail pours into voter households that haven't pitched their ballots in yet, and tv ads are hot and heavy for many candidates. Tyler has the +9 performance advantage in a district that turned out 70% in 2010. No matter how much mail and tv, the door-to-door can be very effective in this tight race. Favors Tyler
| a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 13393 West LaSalle Circle | | | $14,873.00 | 303-986-3188 | | November 4: Enstrom continues to hit Tyler hard through Majority STrategies/Next Wave Communications. The GOP has apparently pulled its financial support from Attwood and is piling on in the Enstrom race. It may be too late. Mail pours into voter households that haven't pitched their ballots in yet, and tv ads are hot and heavy for many candidates. Tyler has the +9 performance advantage in a district that turned out 70% in 2010. No matter how much mail and tv, the door-to-door can be very effective in this tight race. Favors Tyler
| a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 13393 West LaSalle Circle | | Mesa State College | $120,795+$5,503. ln | Mesa State College | $120,795+$5,503. ln |  Personal | | | Mesa State College | $120,795+$5,503. ln | $14,873.00 | | House | House | Donors | $14,873.00 | 13393 West LaSalle Circle | | Capitol Email: rick@rickenstrom.com   | 303-986-3188 | | November 4: Enstrom continues to hit Tyler hard through Majority STrategies/Next Wave Communications. The GOP has apparently pulled its financial support from Attwood and is piling on in the Enstrom race. It may be too late. Mail pours into voter households that haven't pitched their ballots in yet, and tv ads are hot and heavy for many candidates. Tyler has the +9 performance advantage in a district that turned out 70% in 2010. No matter how much mail and tv, the door-to-door can be very effective in this tight race. Favors Tyler
| a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
5.3+D
Performance
9.4+D
Lakewood
Golden
40530 voters
70.5 turnout | B-House | Donors | $120,795+$5,503. ln | $14,873.00 |  Personal | | November 4: Enstrom continues to hit Tyler hard through Majority STrategies/Next Wave Communications. The GOP has apparently pulled its financial support from Attwood and is piling on in the Enstrom race. It may be too late. Mail pours into voter households that haven't pitched their ballots in yet, and tv ads are hot and heavy for many candidates. Tyler has the +9 performance advantage in a district that turned out 70% in 2010. No matter how much mail and tv, the door-to-door can be very effective in this tight race. Favors Tyler
|
House |
Tyler, M. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: repmaxtyler@gmail.com   | Capitol Email: repmaxtyler@gmail.com   | 303-866-2951, 303-915-8475 | Economic and Business Development, Transportation | November 4: Tyler has spent $22000 to Enstrom's $65,000 in the last two weeks. He's put $8000 to Mad Dog Mail and $11,000 to Cory Nadler of Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Nadler's firm does campaign strategy as well as canvassing, so it's probable that Tyler is working on highly refined voter lists for mail and GOTV. Enstrom is throwing everything into mail and tv. About 70% of Jeffco voters have already thrown their ballots into the mail and in early voting machines. Voters are overwhelmed with mail, but the tv can have a powerful impact. Tyler is counting on the refined voter list contact, and with the district leaning +9 his way in voter performance, he'll probably eke out the win. Favors Tyler
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 302 | | | $16,059.10 | 303-866-2951, 303-915-8475 | Economic and Business Development, Transportation | November 4: Tyler has spent $22000 to Enstrom's $65,000 in the last two weeks. He's put $8000 to Mad Dog Mail and $11,000 to Cory Nadler of Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Nadler's firm does campaign strategy as well as canvassing, so it's probable that Tyler is working on highly refined voter lists for mail and GOTV. Enstrom is throwing everything into mail and tv. About 70% of Jeffco voters have already thrown their ballots into the mail and in early voting machines. Voters are overwhelmed with mail, but the tv can have a powerful impact. Tyler is counting on the refined voter list contact, and with the district leaning +9 his way in voter performance, he'll probably eke out the win. Favors Tyler
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 302 | | University of Denver | $108,050.+$2,120. ln | University of Denver | $108,050.+$2,120. ln | State Personal | Votes | | University of Denver | $108,050.+$2,120. ln | $16,059.10 | | House | House | Donors | $16,059.10 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 302 | | Capitol Email: repmaxtyler@gmail.com   | 303-866-2951, 303-915-8475 | Economic and Business Development, Transportation | November 4: Tyler has spent $22000 to Enstrom's $65,000 in the last two weeks. He's put $8000 to Mad Dog Mail and $11,000 to Cory Nadler of Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Nadler's firm does campaign strategy as well as canvassing, so it's probable that Tyler is working on highly refined voter lists for mail and GOTV. Enstrom is throwing everything into mail and tv. About 70% of Jeffco voters have already thrown their ballots into the mail and in early voting machines. Voters are overwhelmed with mail, but the tv can have a powerful impact. Tyler is counting on the refined voter list contact, and with the district leaning +9 his way in voter performance, he'll probably eke out the win. Favors Tyler
| a-Neutral | 0 | House | Registration
5.3+D
Performance
9.4+D
Lakewood
Golden
40530 voters
70.5 turnout | B-House | Donors | $108,050.+$2,120. ln | $16,059.10 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Tyler has spent $22000 to Enstrom's $65,000 in the last two weeks. He's put $8000 to Mad Dog Mail and $11,000 to Cory Nadler of Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Nadler's firm does campaign strategy as well as canvassing, so it's probable that Tyler is working on highly refined voter lists for mail and GOTV. Enstrom is throwing everything into mail and tv. About 70% of Jeffco voters have already thrown their ballots into the mail and in early voting machines. Voters are overwhelmed with mail, but the tv can have a powerful impact. Tyler is counting on the refined voter list contact, and with the district leaning +9 his way in voter performance, he'll probably eke out the win. Favors Tyler
|
House |
Attwood, A. () |
|
Capitol Email: amy@amyattwood.com   | Capitol Email: amy@amyattwood.com   | 720-840-4912 | | October 18: At last, Attwood has unleashed some of her money on Pettersen. She slipped $28,000+ into Majority Strategies' pockets. That's a whole lot of mail. That's about 5 pieces of mail, one on top of another, positive and negative, hitting HD28 boxes, with another $27,000 pile coming from Pettersen. One of Attwood's attacks is transforming Pettersen's parking tickets into traffic violations. Pettersen counters that parking tickets can mount up as a student at the Auraria campus. Attwood will get stuck with an anti-women's reproductive rights campaign because she hasn't indicated whether she's pro-choice or pro-life. Attwood doesn't show any money in canvassing yet. Some PACs are helping her out there, but that's not as systematic as the work from Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Right now, this race leans Pettersen. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 2327 S Devinney St | | | $26,597.15 | 720-840-4912 | | October 18: At last, Attwood has unleashed some of her money on Pettersen. She slipped $28,000+ into Majority Strategies' pockets. That's a whole lot of mail. That's about 5 pieces of mail, one on top of another, positive and negative, hitting HD28 boxes, with another $27,000 pile coming from Pettersen. One of Attwood's attacks is transforming Pettersen's parking tickets into traffic violations. Pettersen counters that parking tickets can mount up as a student at the Auraria campus. Attwood will get stuck with an anti-women's reproductive rights campaign because she hasn't indicated whether she's pro-choice or pro-life. Attwood doesn't show any money in canvassing yet. Some PACs are helping her out there, but that's not as systematic as the work from Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Right now, this race leans Pettersen. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 2327 S Devinney St | | University of Northern Colorado | $103,212.+$5,000. ln | University of Northern Colorado | $103,212.+$5,000. ln |  Personal | | | University of Northern Colorado | $103,212.+$5,000. ln | $26,597.15 | | House | House | Donors | $26,597.15 | 2327 S Devinney St | | Capitol Email: amy@amyattwood.com   | 720-840-4912 | | October 18: At last, Attwood has unleashed some of her money on Pettersen. She slipped $28,000+ into Majority Strategies' pockets. That's a whole lot of mail. That's about 5 pieces of mail, one on top of another, positive and negative, hitting HD28 boxes, with another $27,000 pile coming from Pettersen. One of Attwood's attacks is transforming Pettersen's parking tickets into traffic violations. Pettersen counters that parking tickets can mount up as a student at the Auraria campus. Attwood will get stuck with an anti-women's reproductive rights campaign because she hasn't indicated whether she's pro-choice or pro-life. Attwood doesn't show any money in canvassing yet. Some PACs are helping her out there, but that's not as systematic as the work from Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Right now, this race leans Pettersen. | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
3.5+D
Performance
7.2+D
S. Lakewood/
Edgewater
37065 voters
69.1% turnout | G-House
| Donors | $103,212.+$5,000. ln | $26,597.15 |  Personal | | October 18: At last, Attwood has unleashed some of her money on Pettersen. She slipped $28,000+ into Majority Strategies' pockets. That's a whole lot of mail. That's about 5 pieces of mail, one on top of another, positive and negative, hitting HD28 boxes, with another $27,000 pile coming from Pettersen. One of Attwood's attacks is transforming Pettersen's parking tickets into traffic violations. Pettersen counters that parking tickets can mount up as a student at the Auraria campus. Attwood will get stuck with an anti-women's reproductive rights campaign because she hasn't indicated whether she's pro-choice or pro-life. Attwood doesn't show any money in canvassing yet. Some PACs are helping her out there, but that's not as systematic as the work from Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. Right now, this race leans Pettersen. |
House |
Pettersen, B. () |
|
Capitol Email: brittanypettersen@gmail.com   | Capitol Email: brittanypettersen@gmail.com   | 720-663-9389 | | October 18: Pettersen went to the dogs again, placing a $27,000+ buy on Mad Dog Mail. She added another $4100 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, an effort that will unfold as the ballots roll in. So far, Attwood doesn't show that "boots on the ground" investment, but she has some money to go there if she wants. She's facing a bit of an uphill climb at this point as Pettersen leverages her earlier spending and extensive walking effort into the last days of the campaign. Attwood's weakness will be GOTV if the GOP can't muster a strong outreach to get their voters to the polls. She's on the weak side of the SD22 race between Kerr and Summers, meaning that south Jeffco is more Republican than HD28 now is, so Attwood will face a double GOTV effort from Pettersen and Kerr as they both work hard to get Dem and ID'd unaffiliateds to the polls. Leaning Pettersen | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 1718 S Cody St | | | $14,015.59 | 720-663-9389 | | October 18: Pettersen went to the dogs again, placing a $27,000+ buy on Mad Dog Mail. She added another $4100 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, an effort that will unfold as the ballots roll in. So far, Attwood doesn't show that "boots on the ground" investment, but she has some money to go there if she wants. She's facing a bit of an uphill climb at this point as Pettersen leverages her earlier spending and extensive walking effort into the last days of the campaign. Attwood's weakness will be GOTV if the GOP can't muster a strong outreach to get their voters to the polls. She's on the weak side of the SD22 race between Kerr and Summers, meaning that south Jeffco is more Republican than HD28 now is, so Attwood will face a double GOTV effort from Pettersen and Kerr as they both work hard to get Dem and ID'd unaffiliateds to the polls. Leaning Pettersen | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 1718 S Cody St | | | $124,230.65+$400. ln | | $124,230.65+$400. ln |  Personal | | | | $124,230.65+$400. ln | $14,015.59 | | House | House | Donors | $14,015.59 | 1718 S Cody St | | Capitol Email: brittanypettersen@gmail.com   | 720-663-9389 | | October 18: Pettersen went to the dogs again, placing a $27,000+ buy on Mad Dog Mail. She added another $4100 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, an effort that will unfold as the ballots roll in. So far, Attwood doesn't show that "boots on the ground" investment, but she has some money to go there if she wants. She's facing a bit of an uphill climb at this point as Pettersen leverages her earlier spending and extensive walking effort into the last days of the campaign. Attwood's weakness will be GOTV if the GOP can't muster a strong outreach to get their voters to the polls. She's on the weak side of the SD22 race between Kerr and Summers, meaning that south Jeffco is more Republican than HD28 now is, so Attwood will face a double GOTV effort from Pettersen and Kerr as they both work hard to get Dem and ID'd unaffiliateds to the polls. Leaning Pettersen | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
3.5+D
Performance
7.2+D
S. Lakewood/
Edgewater
37065 voters
69.1% turnout | G-House | Donors | $124,230.65+$400. ln | $14,015.59 |  Personal | | October 18: Pettersen went to the dogs again, placing a $27,000+ buy on Mad Dog Mail. She added another $4100 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, an effort that will unfold as the ballots roll in. So far, Attwood doesn't show that "boots on the ground" investment, but she has some money to go there if she wants. She's facing a bit of an uphill climb at this point as Pettersen leverages her earlier spending and extensive walking effort into the last days of the campaign. Attwood's weakness will be GOTV if the GOP can't muster a strong outreach to get their voters to the polls. She's on the weak side of the SD22 race between Kerr and Summers, meaning that south Jeffco is more Republican than HD28 now is, so Attwood will face a double GOTV effort from Pettersen and Kerr as they both work hard to get Dem and ID'd unaffiliateds to the polls. Leaning Pettersen |
House |
Peniston, C. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: cherylin.peniston.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: cherylin.peniston.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2843, 303-466-2884 | Education, Health and Environment | October 18: Peniston must be thanking her stars that Vande Krol hasn't spent his money down. She has about $8000 left to his $42,000, but with the days passing by,the $42,000 becomes less and less powerful with voters. Peniston put another $6000 in with the Mad Dogs from Florida, the out-of-state mail house many Dems are using and that her opponent nailed her on. Mad Dog's mail can be sweet or nasty, and Peniston has probably sent out some of each. Peniston hasn't bought into Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach yet. She should probably spend her remaining dollars with them unless she has a really terrific GOTV plan in place. Her Westminster district has an 8+Dem registration advantage and a 7+voter performance advantage, which provides some comfort. The district has a 30% Hispanic population, one more place where this voter cohort becomes critical for Democrats. Peniston will not have the advantage of Pettersen in HD 28 with the very hot Senate race going on in her district to help with GOTV. It looks like it will be Peniston and Obama doing the heavy lifting in this House district. The race has gone from a sure fire for Peniston to a Lean, with Vande Krol putting up a good fight.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 307 | | | $4,013.45 | 303-866-2843, 303-466-2884 | Education, Health and Environment | October 18: Peniston must be thanking her stars that Vande Krol hasn't spent his money down. She has about $8000 left to his $42,000, but with the days passing by,the $42,000 becomes less and less powerful with voters. Peniston put another $6000 in with the Mad Dogs from Florida, the out-of-state mail house many Dems are using and that her opponent nailed her on. Mad Dog's mail can be sweet or nasty, and Peniston has probably sent out some of each. Peniston hasn't bought into Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach yet. She should probably spend her remaining dollars with them unless she has a really terrific GOTV plan in place. Her Westminster district has an 8+Dem registration advantage and a 7+voter performance advantage, which provides some comfort. The district has a 30% Hispanic population, one more place where this voter cohort becomes critical for Democrats. Peniston will not have the advantage of Pettersen in HD 28 with the very hot Senate race going on in her district to help with GOTV. It looks like it will be Peniston and Obama doing the heavy lifting in this House district. The race has gone from a sure fire for Peniston to a Lean, with Vande Krol putting up a good fight.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 307 | | Univ. of LaVerne,California/Unvi. ov Denver | $76,287.66 | Univ. of LaVerne,California/Unvi. ov Denver | $76,287.66 | State Personal | Votes | | Univ. of LaVerne,California/Unvi. ov Denver | $76,287.66 | $4,013.45 | | House | House | Donors | $4,013.45 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 307 | | Capitol Email: cherylin.peniston.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2843, 303-466-2884 | Education, Health and Environment | October 18: Peniston must be thanking her stars that Vande Krol hasn't spent his money down. She has about $8000 left to his $42,000, but with the days passing by,the $42,000 becomes less and less powerful with voters. Peniston put another $6000 in with the Mad Dogs from Florida, the out-of-state mail house many Dems are using and that her opponent nailed her on. Mad Dog's mail can be sweet or nasty, and Peniston has probably sent out some of each. Peniston hasn't bought into Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach yet. She should probably spend her remaining dollars with them unless she has a really terrific GOTV plan in place. Her Westminster district has an 8+Dem registration advantage and a 7+voter performance advantage, which provides some comfort. The district has a 30% Hispanic population, one more place where this voter cohort becomes critical for Democrats. Peniston will not have the advantage of Pettersen in HD 28 with the very hot Senate race going on in her district to help with GOTV. It looks like it will be Peniston and Obama doing the heavy lifting in this House district. The race has gone from a sure fire for Peniston to a Lean, with Vande Krol putting up a good fight.
| a-Neutral | 0 | House | | G-House | Donors | $76,287.66 | $4,013.45 | State Personal | Votes | October 18: Peniston must be thanking her stars that Vande Krol hasn't spent his money down. She has about $8000 left to his $42,000, but with the days passing by,the $42,000 becomes less and less powerful with voters. Peniston put another $6000 in with the Mad Dogs from Florida, the out-of-state mail house many Dems are using and that her opponent nailed her on. Mad Dog's mail can be sweet or nasty, and Peniston has probably sent out some of each. Peniston hasn't bought into Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach yet. She should probably spend her remaining dollars with them unless she has a really terrific GOTV plan in place. Her Westminster district has an 8+Dem registration advantage and a 7+voter performance advantage, which provides some comfort. The district has a 30% Hispanic population, one more place where this voter cohort becomes critical for Democrats. Peniston will not have the advantage of Pettersen in HD 28 with the very hot Senate race going on in her district to help with GOTV. It looks like it will be Peniston and Obama doing the heavy lifting in this House district. The race has gone from a sure fire for Peniston to a Lean, with Vande Krol putting up a good fight.
|
House |
Vande Krol, B. () |
|
Capitol Email: brianvandekrol@yahoo.com   | Capitol Email: brianvandekrol@yahoo.com   | 303-596-4978 | | October 18: Vande Krol turned to Amazon to buy a scooter to take him from house to house campaigning. That's may be the best buy he makes as nothing impresses voters more than a door-to-door guy. However, he probably should have made that purchase in June to get his name out early and often. He's turned to Wizbang Solutions for his mail house, a local company that's developed a solid business over ten years in various marketing niches. It's hard to figure why he hasn't spent more of his money. He put in $5500 on mail, but he's going to need to do more than that to supplant an incumbent with a 7+ voter performance lead. He's still sitting on $42,000, but lots of voters have already sent their ballots in. His money has diminishing returns as each day goes by - that's the stress of early voting on campaigns. He's put together a good challenge, but it may be too late. Leans Peniston | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 9807 Grove Circle | | | $37,038.05 | 303-596-4978 | | October 18: Vande Krol turned to Amazon to buy a scooter to take him from house to house campaigning. That's may be the best buy he makes as nothing impresses voters more than a door-to-door guy. However, he probably should have made that purchase in June to get his name out early and often. He's turned to Wizbang Solutions for his mail house, a local company that's developed a solid business over ten years in various marketing niches. It's hard to figure why he hasn't spent more of his money. He put in $5500 on mail, but he's going to need to do more than that to supplant an incumbent with a 7+ voter performance lead. He's still sitting on $42,000, but lots of voters have already sent their ballots in. His money has diminishing returns as each day goes by - that's the stress of early voting on campaigns. He's put together a good challenge, but it may be too late. Leans Peniston | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 9807 Grove Circle | | College degree in Construction Management | $73,357.97 | College degree in Construction Management | $73,357.97 |  Personal | | | College degree in Construction Management | $73,357.97 | $37,038.05 | | House | House | Donors | $37,038.05 | 9807 Grove Circle | | Capitol Email: brianvandekrol@yahoo.com   | 303-596-4978 | | October 18: Vande Krol turned to Amazon to buy a scooter to take him from house to house campaigning. That's may be the best buy he makes as nothing impresses voters more than a door-to-door guy. However, he probably should have made that purchase in June to get his name out early and often. He's turned to Wizbang Solutions for his mail house, a local company that's developed a solid business over ten years in various marketing niches. It's hard to figure why he hasn't spent more of his money. He put in $5500 on mail, but he's going to need to do more than that to supplant an incumbent with a 7+ voter performance lead. He's still sitting on $42,000, but lots of voters have already sent their ballots in. His money has diminishing returns as each day goes by - that's the stress of early voting on campaigns. He's put together a good challenge, but it may be too late. Leans Peniston | a-Neutral | N/A | House | | G-House | Donors | $73,357.97 | $37,038.05 |  Personal | | October 18: Vande Krol turned to Amazon to buy a scooter to take him from house to house campaigning. That's may be the best buy he makes as nothing impresses voters more than a door-to-door guy. However, he probably should have made that purchase in June to get his name out early and often. He's turned to Wizbang Solutions for his mail house, a local company that's developed a solid business over ten years in various marketing niches. It's hard to figure why he hasn't spent more of his money. He put in $5500 on mail, but he's going to need to do more than that to supplant an incumbent with a 7+ voter performance lead. He's still sitting on $42,000, but lots of voters have already sent their ballots in. His money has diminishing returns as each day goes by - that's the stress of early voting on campaigns. He's put together a good challenge, but it may be too late. Leans Peniston |
House |
Acree, C. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: cindy.acree.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: cindy.acree.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2944, 303-748-9534 | Finance, Health and Environment | November 4: Acree put in $24,000 in mail in the last period. That's a long time before hitting her stride, especially with mail-in ballots hitting in the middle of October. The GOP has not given her much help, even though she's been one of their stalwarts for her terms in the House. The seat leans Dem. This slot is going to the Dems. Buckner wins. | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 271 | | | $16,393.95 | 303-866-2944, 303-748-9534 | Finance, Health and Environment | November 4: Acree put in $24,000 in mail in the last period. That's a long time before hitting her stride, especially with mail-in ballots hitting in the middle of October. The GOP has not given her much help, even though she's been one of their stalwarts for her terms in the House. The seat leans Dem. This slot is going to the Dems. Buckner wins. | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 271 | | Southern Methodist University/University of Denver | $74,869.20 | Southern Methodist University/University of Denver | $74,869.20 | State Personal | Votes | | Southern Methodist University/University of Denver | $74,869.20 | $16,393.95 | | House | House | Donors | $16,393.95 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 271 | | Capitol Email: cindy.acree.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2944, 303-748-9534 | Finance, Health and Environment | November 4: Acree put in $24,000 in mail in the last period. That's a long time before hitting her stride, especially with mail-in ballots hitting in the middle of October. The GOP has not given her much help, even though she's been one of their stalwarts for her terms in the House. The seat leans Dem. This slot is going to the Dems. Buckner wins. | a-Neutral | 0 | House | Registration
5.1+D
Performance
5.2+D
Aurora, Foxfield
36470 voters
65% 2010 turnout | D-House | Donors | $74,869.20 | $16,393.95 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Acree put in $24,000 in mail in the last period. That's a long time before hitting her stride, especially with mail-in ballots hitting in the middle of October. The GOP has not given her much help, even though she's been one of their stalwarts for her terms in the House. The seat leans Dem. This slot is going to the Dems. Buckner wins. |
House |
Buckner, J. () |
|
Capitol Email: john@bucknerforcolorado.com   | Capitol Email: john@bucknerforcolorado.com   | 720-277-9120 | | November 4: Buckner put $18,000 into mail with the Mad Dogs. He's been slower to spend his money than some Dems, and he hasn't hooked up with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach this period. Nevertheless, he has a district with a solid minority demographic that leans Dem, and a moderate GOTV effort on his part will make the difference. He can count on Obama, who's been in his district, and their team to bring out his voters. Buckner wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | PO Box 441732 | | | $22,163.61 | 720-277-9120 | | November 4: Buckner put $18,000 into mail with the Mad Dogs. He's been slower to spend his money than some Dems, and he hasn't hooked up with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach this period. Nevertheless, he has a district with a solid minority demographic that leans Dem, and a moderate GOTV effort on his part will make the difference. He can count on Obama, who's been in his district, and their team to bring out his voters. Buckner wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | PO Box 441732 | | | $81,399.04 | | $81,399.04 |  Personal | | | | $81,399.04 | $22,163.61 | | House | House | Donors | $22,163.61 | PO Box 441732 | | Capitol Email: john@bucknerforcolorado.com   | 720-277-9120 | | November 4: Buckner put $18,000 into mail with the Mad Dogs. He's been slower to spend his money than some Dems, and he hasn't hooked up with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach this period. Nevertheless, he has a district with a solid minority demographic that leans Dem, and a moderate GOTV effort on his part will make the difference. He can count on Obama, who's been in his district, and their team to bring out his voters. Buckner wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
5.1+D
Performance
5.2+D
Aurora, Foxfield
36470 voters
65% 2010 turnout | D-House | Donors | $81,399.04 | $22,163.61 |  Personal | | November 4: Buckner put $18,000 into mail with the Mad Dogs. He's been slower to spend his money than some Dems, and he hasn't hooked up with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach this period. Nevertheless, he has a district with a solid minority demographic that leans Dem, and a moderate GOTV effort on his part will make the difference. He can count on Obama, who's been in his district, and their team to bring out his voters. Buckner wins. |
House |
Navarro-Ratzlaff, C. () |
|
Capitol Email: CLARICENAVARRO47@HOTMAIL.COM   | Capitol Email: CLARICENAVARRO47@HOTMAIL.COM   | 719-469-3484 | | November 4: Navarro-Ratzlaff grabbed the Denver Post endorsement. She's done better in fundraising, but Rodosovich got a great head start which probably gives him an advantage. There are more registered Dems in the district, but in 2010 the district went GOP in the treasurer's race. Navarro-Ratzlaff has a chance if she gets the treasurer's race people out to vote for her. But Rodosevich is in the enviable position of having to get out the Dems. He's had more money all along. She's doing some ads in the Chieftain, he continues with mail. Advantage Rodosevich | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 1809 Paseo Del Tesorro | | | $7,114.54 | 719-469-3484 | | November 4: Navarro-Ratzlaff grabbed the Denver Post endorsement. She's done better in fundraising, but Rodosovich got a great head start which probably gives him an advantage. There are more registered Dems in the district, but in 2010 the district went GOP in the treasurer's race. Navarro-Ratzlaff has a chance if she gets the treasurer's race people out to vote for her. But Rodosevich is in the enviable position of having to get out the Dems. He's had more money all along. She's doing some ads in the Chieftain, he continues with mail. Advantage Rodosevich | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 1809 Paseo Del Tesorro | | Otero Community College | $57,012.76 | Otero Community College | $57,012.76 |  Personal | | | Otero Community College | $57,012.76 | $7,114.54 | | House | House | Donors | $7,114.54 | 1809 Paseo Del Tesorro | | Capitol Email: CLARICENAVARRO47@HOTMAIL.COM   | 719-469-3484 | | November 4: Navarro-Ratzlaff grabbed the Denver Post endorsement. She's done better in fundraising, but Rodosovich got a great head start which probably gives him an advantage. There are more registered Dems in the district, but in 2010 the district went GOP in the treasurer's race. Navarro-Ratzlaff has a chance if she gets the treasurer's race people out to vote for her. But Rodosevich is in the enviable position of having to get out the Dems. He's had more money all along. She's doing some ads in the Chieftain, he continues with mail. Advantage Rodosevich | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
5.3+D
Performance
3.6+R
Pueblo
Rocky Ford
La Junta
Avondale, Swink
36379 voters
70.8 2010 turnout | H-House | Donors | $57,012.76 | $7,114.54 |  Personal | | November 4: Navarro-Ratzlaff grabbed the Denver Post endorsement. She's done better in fundraising, but Rodosovich got a great head start which probably gives him an advantage. There are more registered Dems in the district, but in 2010 the district went GOP in the treasurer's race. Navarro-Ratzlaff has a chance if she gets the treasurer's race people out to vote for her. But Rodosevich is in the enviable position of having to get out the Dems. He's had more money all along. She's doing some ads in the Chieftain, he continues with mail. Advantage Rodosevich |
House |
Rodosevich, N. () |
|
Capitol Email: crodosevich@comcast.net   | Capitol Email: crodosevich@comcast.net   | 719-544-1964 | | November 4: Rodosevich has the money and has worked at name recognition since June. Navarro-Ratzlaff has finally gotten more funds, but it may be too late. Registration advantages Rodosevich, though voter performance advantages Navarro-Ratzlaff. In this presidential race with Obama working the voters too, advantage Rodosevich. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 3227 Northridge Dr. | | | $13,233.30 | 719-544-1964 | | November 4: Rodosevich has the money and has worked at name recognition since June. Navarro-Ratzlaff has finally gotten more funds, but it may be too late. Registration advantages Rodosevich, though voter performance advantages Navarro-Ratzlaff. In this presidential race with Obama working the voters too, advantage Rodosevich. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 3227 Northridge Dr. | | US Navy, BS Adams State College | $87,445.50+$525. ln | US Navy, BS Adams State College | $87,445.50+$525. ln |  Personal | | | US Navy, BS Adams State College | $87,445.50+$525. ln | $13,233.30 | | House | House | Donors | $13,233.30 | 3227 Northridge Dr. | | Capitol Email: crodosevich@comcast.net   | 719-544-1964 | | November 4: Rodosevich has the money and has worked at name recognition since June. Navarro-Ratzlaff has finally gotten more funds, but it may be too late. Registration advantages Rodosevich, though voter performance advantages Navarro-Ratzlaff. In this presidential race with Obama working the voters too, advantage Rodosevich. | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
5.3+D
Performance
3.6+R
Pueblo
Rocky Ford
La Junta
Avondale, Swink
36379 voters
70.8 2010 turnout | H-House | Donors | $87,445.50+$525. ln | $13,233.30 |  Personal | | November 4: Rodosevich has the money and has worked at name recognition since June. Navarro-Ratzlaff has finally gotten more funds, but it may be too late. Registration advantages Rodosevich, though voter performance advantages Navarro-Ratzlaff. In this presidential race with Obama working the voters too, advantage Rodosevich. |
House |
Brown, J. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: jpaul.brown.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: jpaul.brown.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2914 leg, 970-759-4157 | Agriculture, Livestock, & Natural Resources, Health and Environment, Transportation | November 4: Brown has doubled down on his radio strategy. He's going to reach voters across those wide Southwest Colorado distances using AM/FM. He's also put some ads in local papers. McLachlan has used some radio, but relies more on mail. Both will have to do lots of GOTV. Like other rural Republicans, Brown will rely on ranchers, sheepherders, and farmers for his base. McLachlan will have to grab the more "urban" voters in Gunnison and Durango, plus the college kids, plus anyone else he can dig up. He's done lots of voter outreach. He knows his targets. Advantage McLachlan | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | House | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 271 | | | $24,462.99 | 303-866-2914 leg, 970-759-4157 | Agriculture, Livestock, & Natural Resources, Health and Environment, Transportation | November 4: Brown has doubled down on his radio strategy. He's going to reach voters across those wide Southwest Colorado distances using AM/FM. He's also put some ads in local papers. McLachlan has used some radio, but relies more on mail. Both will have to do lots of GOTV. Like other rural Republicans, Brown will rely on ranchers, sheepherders, and farmers for his base. McLachlan will have to grab the more "urban" voters in Gunnison and Durango, plus the college kids, plus anyone else he can dig up. He's done lots of voter outreach. He knows his targets. Advantage McLachlan | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 271 | | NMSU BS Animal Science | $117,986.02 | NMSU BS Animal Science | $117,986.02 | State Personal | Votes | | NMSU BS Animal Science | $117,986.02 | $24,462.99 | | House | House | Donors | $24,462.99 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 271 | | Capitol Email: jpaul.brown.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2914 leg, 970-759-4157 | Agriculture, Livestock, & Natural Resources, Health and Environment, Transportation | November 4: Brown has doubled down on his radio strategy. He's going to reach voters across those wide Southwest Colorado distances using AM/FM. He's also put some ads in local papers. McLachlan has used some radio, but relies more on mail. Both will have to do lots of GOTV. Like other rural Republicans, Brown will rely on ranchers, sheepherders, and farmers for his base. McLachlan will have to grab the more "urban" voters in Gunnison and Durango, plus the college kids, plus anyone else he can dig up. He's done lots of voter outreach. He knows his targets. Advantage McLachlan | a-Neutral | 0 | House | Registration
7+R
Performance
3.8+R
Durango
Ouray
Gunnison, Ignacio
44201 voters
69.5% turnout
Pagosa Springs
Bayfield, Colona
44201 voters
69.5 2010 Turnout | E-House | Donors | $117,986.02 | $24,462.99 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Brown has doubled down on his radio strategy. He's going to reach voters across those wide Southwest Colorado distances using AM/FM. He's also put some ads in local papers. McLachlan has used some radio, but relies more on mail. Both will have to do lots of GOTV. Like other rural Republicans, Brown will rely on ranchers, sheepherders, and farmers for his base. McLachlan will have to grab the more "urban" voters in Gunnison and Durango, plus the college kids, plus anyone else he can dig up. He's done lots of voter outreach. He knows his targets. Advantage McLachlan |
House |
McLachlan, M. () |
|
Capitol Email: mike@dgoattys.com   | Capitol Email: mike@dgoattys.com   | 970-247-0545, 970-347-1390 | | November 4: McLachlan will lock this race down with his mail and radio. He jumped in early, has worked hard, has good name recognition. Now all he has to do is get out his voters, including the youth at Ft Lewis and Western State. He will need to maximize Dems and turn out the U's in his favor. 2010 had a 69% voter turnout and leaned 3.4+R. Presidential years favor higher Dem turnout, a plus for McLachlan. It's not going to be easy, but Brown probably waited too late to push his message. McLachlan has done more to target his voters. Advantage McLachlan | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | House |  Personal | | 399 West Park Avenue A-2 | | | $8,286.91 | 970-247-0545, 970-347-1390 | | November 4: McLachlan will lock this race down with his mail and radio. He jumped in early, has worked hard, has good name recognition. Now all he has to do is get out his voters, including the youth at Ft Lewis and Western State. He will need to maximize Dems and turn out the U's in his favor. 2010 had a 69% voter turnout and leaned 3.4+R. Presidential years favor higher Dem turnout, a plus for McLachlan. It's not going to be easy, but Brown probably waited too late to push his message. McLachlan has done more to target his voters. Advantage McLachlan | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 399 West Park Avenue A-2 | | University of Arizona, US Marine | $133,671.+$1,000.ln | University of Arizona, US Marine | $133,671.+$1,000.ln |  Personal | | | University of Arizona, US Marine | $133,671.+$1,000.ln | $8,286.91 | | House | House | Donors | $8,286.91 | 399 West Park Avenue A-2 | | Capitol Email: mike@dgoattys.com   | 970-247-0545, 970-347-1390 | | November 4: McLachlan will lock this race down with his mail and radio. He jumped in early, has worked hard, has good name recognition. Now all he has to do is get out his voters, including the youth at Ft Lewis and Western State. He will need to maximize Dems and turn out the U's in his favor. 2010 had a 69% voter turnout and leaned 3.4+R. Presidential years favor higher Dem turnout, a plus for McLachlan. It's not going to be easy, but Brown probably waited too late to push his message. McLachlan has done more to target his voters. Advantage McLachlan | a-Neutral | N/A | House | Registration
7+R
Performance
3.8+R
Durango
Ouray
Gunnison, Ignacio
Pagosa Springs
Bayfield, Colona
44201 voters
69.5 2010 Turnout | E-House | Donors | $133,671.+$1,000.ln | $8,286.91 |  Personal | | November 4: McLachlan will lock this race down with his mail and radio. He jumped in early, has worked hard, has good name recognition. Now all he has to do is get out his voters, including the youth at Ft Lewis and Western State. He will need to maximize Dems and turn out the U's in his favor. 2010 had a 69% voter turnout and leaned 3.4+R. Presidential years favor higher Dem turnout, a plus for McLachlan. It's not going to be easy, but Brown probably waited too late to push his message. McLachlan has done more to target his voters. Advantage McLachlan |
Senate |
Baumgardner, R. () |
|
Capitol Email: randy.baumgardner.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: randy.baumgardner.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2949, 970-725-3274 | Agriculture, Livestock, & Natural Resources, Judiciary, State, Veterans, & Military Affairs | November 4: Baumgardner continues his minimalist follow up to his primary. He put in $8000 in 2-week period, with $5000 to advertising and $1500 to a Colorado Springs gov't relations consultant. He apparently believes his 9+ performance numbers will hold up despite any damage to him from the primary. He may be right, but Tracy is putting up a stout offense with about $9000 in mail this period and a roughly $65,000+ fund raising differential. For Tracy to win, she has to do what all the other Dems need to do - get out the vote. This race is another test as to the effectiveness of the Dem ground game overcoming serious odds. Leans Tracy
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | Senate | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 202 | | | $8,651.98 | 303-866-2949, 970-725-3274 | Agriculture, Livestock, & Natural Resources, Judiciary, State, Veterans, & Military Affairs | November 4: Baumgardner continues his minimalist follow up to his primary. He put in $8000 in 2-week period, with $5000 to advertising and $1500 to a Colorado Springs gov't relations consultant. He apparently believes his 9+ performance numbers will hold up despite any damage to him from the primary. He may be right, but Tracy is putting up a stout offense with about $9000 in mail this period and a roughly $65,000+ fund raising differential. For Tracy to win, she has to do what all the other Dems need to do - get out the vote. This race is another test as to the effectiveness of the Dem ground game overcoming serious odds. Leans Tracy
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 202 | | | $61,387.09 | | $61,387.09 | State Personal | Votes | | | $61,387.09 | $8,651.98 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $8,651.98 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 202 | | Capitol Email: randy.baumgardner.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2949, 970-725-3274 | Agriculture, Livestock, & Natural Resources, Judiciary, State, Veterans, & Military Affairs | November 4: Baumgardner continues his minimalist follow up to his primary. He put in $8000 in 2-week period, with $5000 to advertising and $1500 to a Colorado Springs gov't relations consultant. He apparently believes his 9+ performance numbers will hold up despite any damage to him from the primary. He may be right, but Tracy is putting up a stout offense with about $9000 in mail this period and a roughly $65,000+ fund raising differential. For Tracy to win, she has to do what all the other Dems need to do - get out the vote. This race is another test as to the effectiveness of the Dem ground game overcoming serious odds. Leans Tracy
| a-Neutral | 0 | Senate | Registration
12.2+R
Performance
9+R
Northwest corner -Steamboat, Winter Park, Rifle, Parachute, Meeker | B-Senate | Donors | $61,387.09 | $8,651.98 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Baumgardner continues his minimalist follow up to his primary. He put in $8000 in 2-week period, with $5000 to advertising and $1500 to a Colorado Springs gov't relations consultant. He apparently believes his 9+ performance numbers will hold up despite any damage to him from the primary. He may be right, but Tracy is putting up a stout offense with about $9000 in mail this period and a roughly $65,000+ fund raising differential. For Tracy to win, she has to do what all the other Dems need to do - get out the vote. This race is another test as to the effectiveness of the Dem ground game overcoming serious odds. Leans Tracy
|
Senate |
Tracy, E. () |
|
Capitol Email: emily@emilytracy.com   | Capitol Email: emily@emilytracy.com   | 970-453-4779 | | November 4: Lots of people think Tracy has a great chance in this race. First, the Dems just put in $15,000 to help her over the finish line. Many individuals have contributed in these last couple of weeks. It looks like she has momentum and will be peaking at just the right time. Whether all of this hope and change will pay off or just get her really, really close is the question. Tracy has to overcome a 9+ vote performance number, but Baumgardner has done practically nothing since the primary. He put some money into mail and a consultant this period, and doesn't have much left to close the race out. Tracy has gathered $78,000 to Baumgardner's $61,000, most of which he spent early on the primary. It's appropriate that this race is taking place in Summit County, because Tracy does have a high mountain to climb, but right now, it's looking like she's going to reach the top by an inch before Baumgardner. Leans Tracy. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | Senate |  Personal | | 94 Monarch Drive | | | $12,302.05 | 970-453-4779 | | November 4: Lots of people think Tracy has a great chance in this race. First, the Dems just put in $15,000 to help her over the finish line. Many individuals have contributed in these last couple of weeks. It looks like she has momentum and will be peaking at just the right time. Whether all of this hope and change will pay off or just get her really, really close is the question. Tracy has to overcome a 9+ vote performance number, but Baumgardner has done practically nothing since the primary. He put some money into mail and a consultant this period, and doesn't have much left to close the race out. Tracy has gathered $78,000 to Baumgardner's $61,000, most of which he spent early on the primary. It's appropriate that this race is taking place in Summit County, because Tracy does have a high mountain to climb, but right now, it's looking like she's going to reach the top by an inch before Baumgardner. Leans Tracy. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 94 Monarch Drive | | University of Colorado | $78,687.48 | University of Colorado | $78,687.48 |  Personal | | | University of Colorado | $78,687.48 | $12,302.05 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $12,302.05 | 94 Monarch Drive | | Capitol Email: emily@emilytracy.com   | 970-453-4779 | | November 4: Lots of people think Tracy has a great chance in this race. First, the Dems just put in $15,000 to help her over the finish line. Many individuals have contributed in these last couple of weeks. It looks like she has momentum and will be peaking at just the right time. Whether all of this hope and change will pay off or just get her really, really close is the question. Tracy has to overcome a 9+ vote performance number, but Baumgardner has done practically nothing since the primary. He put some money into mail and a consultant this period, and doesn't have much left to close the race out. Tracy has gathered $78,000 to Baumgardner's $61,000, most of which he spent early on the primary. It's appropriate that this race is taking place in Summit County, because Tracy does have a high mountain to climb, but right now, it's looking like she's going to reach the top by an inch before Baumgardner. Leans Tracy. | a-Neutral | N/A | Senate | Registration
12.2+R
Performance
9+R
Northwest corner -Steamboat, Winter Park, Rifle, Parachute, Meeker | B-Senate | Donors | $78,687.48 | $12,302.05 |  Personal | | November 4: Lots of people think Tracy has a great chance in this race. First, the Dems just put in $15,000 to help her over the finish line. Many individuals have contributed in these last couple of weeks. It looks like she has momentum and will be peaking at just the right time. Whether all of this hope and change will pay off or just get her really, really close is the question. Tracy has to overcome a 9+ vote performance number, but Baumgardner has done practically nothing since the primary. He put some money into mail and a consultant this period, and doesn't have much left to close the race out. Tracy has gathered $78,000 to Baumgardner's $61,000, most of which he spent early on the primary. It's appropriate that this race is taking place in Summit County, because Tracy does have a high mountain to climb, but right now, it's looking like she's going to reach the top by an inch before Baumgardner. Leans Tracy. |
Senate |
Hudak, E. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: senatorhudak@gmail.com   | Capitol Email: senatorhudak@gmail.com   | 303-866-4840, 303-423-8569 | Education, Transportation | November 4: Hudak's wrestling match with Sias has been in a mud puddle for awhile. Sias or Republican surrogates have associated Hudak with pooping dogs, pigs, limousines, roasted chickens, and luscious wine - quite a combination. At some point, and it is probably at the point of the pooping dog, voters get overwhelmed by the Yuck factor. Hudak spent on GOTV with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, mail, and internet advertising - a new feature. She has lots of support from various other surrogates who support her positions on women's reproductive rights and education. She has a huge GOTV effort that will squeeze her over the line in another squeaker. Advantage Hudak.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | Senate | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 330 | | | $17,486.41 | 303-866-4840, 303-423-8569 | Education, Transportation | November 4: Hudak's wrestling match with Sias has been in a mud puddle for awhile. Sias or Republican surrogates have associated Hudak with pooping dogs, pigs, limousines, roasted chickens, and luscious wine - quite a combination. At some point, and it is probably at the point of the pooping dog, voters get overwhelmed by the Yuck factor. Hudak spent on GOTV with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, mail, and internet advertising - a new feature. She has lots of support from various other surrogates who support her positions on women's reproductive rights and education. She has a huge GOTV effort that will squeeze her over the line in another squeaker. Advantage Hudak.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 330 | | | $214,167.09 | | $214,167.09 | State Personal | Votes | | | $214,167.09 | $17,486.41 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $17,486.41 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 330 | | Capitol Email: senatorhudak@gmail.com   | 303-866-4840, 303-423-8569 | Education, Transportation | November 4: Hudak's wrestling match with Sias has been in a mud puddle for awhile. Sias or Republican surrogates have associated Hudak with pooping dogs, pigs, limousines, roasted chickens, and luscious wine - quite a combination. At some point, and it is probably at the point of the pooping dog, voters get overwhelmed by the Yuck factor. Hudak spent on GOTV with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, mail, and internet advertising - a new feature. She has lots of support from various other surrogates who support her positions on women's reproductive rights and education. She has a huge GOTV effort that will squeeze her over the line in another squeaker. Advantage Hudak.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Senate | Registration
1.1+R
Performance
0 - even, toss up, draw
Westminster, Arvada | E-Senate | Donors | $214,167.09 | $17,486.41 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Hudak's wrestling match with Sias has been in a mud puddle for awhile. Sias or Republican surrogates have associated Hudak with pooping dogs, pigs, limousines, roasted chickens, and luscious wine - quite a combination. At some point, and it is probably at the point of the pooping dog, voters get overwhelmed by the Yuck factor. Hudak spent on GOTV with Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach, mail, and internet advertising - a new feature. She has lots of support from various other surrogates who support her positions on women's reproductive rights and education. She has a huge GOTV effort that will squeeze her over the line in another squeaker. Advantage Hudak.
|
Senate |
Sias, L. () |
|
Capitol Email: lang@langsias.com   | Capitol Email: lang@langsias.com   | (720) 248-7427 | | November 4: Sias and his surrogates have gone all in associating Hudak with raising taxes (a dog pooping), spending tax payer dollars fraudulently (a limousine and expensive wine), and a pig (raising taxes profligately). She's the poster child for the liberal every Republican likes to hate, yet she's squeezed out one victory after another over the years. This will be another one of those, but Hudak has the advantage. Hudak wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | Senate |  Personal | | 12726 W. 85th Circle | | | $27,420.25 | (720) 248-7427 | | November 4: Sias and his surrogates have gone all in associating Hudak with raising taxes (a dog pooping), spending tax payer dollars fraudulently (a limousine and expensive wine), and a pig (raising taxes profligately). She's the poster child for the liberal every Republican likes to hate, yet she's squeezed out one victory after another over the years. This will be another one of those, but Hudak has the advantage. Hudak wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 12726 W. 85th Circle | | Vassar, MI Law School, London School of Economics | $119,319.16 | Vassar, MI Law School, London School of Economics | $119,319.16 |  Personal | | | Vassar, MI Law School, London School of Economics | $119,319.16 | $27,420.25 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $27,420.25 | 12726 W. 85th Circle | | Capitol Email: lang@langsias.com   | (720) 248-7427 | | November 4: Sias and his surrogates have gone all in associating Hudak with raising taxes (a dog pooping), spending tax payer dollars fraudulently (a limousine and expensive wine), and a pig (raising taxes profligately). She's the poster child for the liberal every Republican likes to hate, yet she's squeezed out one victory after another over the years. This will be another one of those, but Hudak has the advantage. Hudak wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Senate | Registration
1.1+R
Performance
0 - even, toss up, draw
Westminster, Arvada | E-Senate | Donors | $119,319.16 | $27,420.25 |  Personal | | November 4: Sias and his surrogates have gone all in associating Hudak with raising taxes (a dog pooping), spending tax payer dollars fraudulently (a limousine and expensive wine), and a pig (raising taxes profligately). She's the poster child for the liberal every Republican likes to hate, yet she's squeezed out one victory after another over the years. This will be another one of those, but Hudak has the advantage. Hudak wins. |
Senate |
Kerr, A. () |
|
Capitol Email: andy.kerr.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: andy.kerr.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2923 | Appropriations, Education | November 1: Kerr is spending a lot of money on voter canvassing. Put with Obama's, Pettersen's, and Parker's efforts, there's plenty of voter contact to get Kerr's voters out - about $12,500 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach plus thousands of calls by volunteers daily. He's also put $28,000 into mail to Summers' $15,000. But there's lots of outside mail hitting the district. These actions respond to Kerr's problems: it's flat out easier for Summers to get out his voters than it is for Kerr; and Kerr is facing his TABOR lawsuit "name in the game." Since Kerr's name is on the TABOR case title, that gives him a very high profile on the taxing issue. Lots of people like being able to vote on taxes, so the law suit's assertion that we live in a Republic in which legislators should make taxing decisions isn't very popular. Kerr has outraised Summers in dollars, and it's hard to figure out the reasoning behind Summer's billboard on Hampden that focuses on education, since Summers is against Jeffco School's 3A/B, but right now, Summers probably has the edge. But if Kerr can get out his voters, this will go down to the very thin wire. Favors Summers
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | Senate | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 300 | | | $17,324.47 | 303-866-2923 | Appropriations, Education | November 1: Kerr is spending a lot of money on voter canvassing. Put with Obama's, Pettersen's, and Parker's efforts, there's plenty of voter contact to get Kerr's voters out - about $12,500 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach plus thousands of calls by volunteers daily. He's also put $28,000 into mail to Summers' $15,000. But there's lots of outside mail hitting the district. These actions respond to Kerr's problems: it's flat out easier for Summers to get out his voters than it is for Kerr; and Kerr is facing his TABOR lawsuit "name in the game." Since Kerr's name is on the TABOR case title, that gives him a very high profile on the taxing issue. Lots of people like being able to vote on taxes, so the law suit's assertion that we live in a Republic in which legislators should make taxing decisions isn't very popular. Kerr has outraised Summers in dollars, and it's hard to figure out the reasoning behind Summer's billboard on Hampden that focuses on education, since Summers is against Jeffco School's 3A/B, but right now, Summers probably has the edge. But if Kerr can get out his voters, this will go down to the very thin wire. Favors Summers
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 300 | | University of Colorado | $185,185.33 | University of Colorado | $185,185.33 | State Personal | Votes | | University of Colorado | $185,185.33 | $17,324.47 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $17,324.47 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 300 | | Capitol Email: andy.kerr.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2923 | Appropriations, Education | November 1: Kerr is spending a lot of money on voter canvassing. Put with Obama's, Pettersen's, and Parker's efforts, there's plenty of voter contact to get Kerr's voters out - about $12,500 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach plus thousands of calls by volunteers daily. He's also put $28,000 into mail to Summers' $15,000. But there's lots of outside mail hitting the district. These actions respond to Kerr's problems: it's flat out easier for Summers to get out his voters than it is for Kerr; and Kerr is facing his TABOR lawsuit "name in the game." Since Kerr's name is on the TABOR case title, that gives him a very high profile on the taxing issue. Lots of people like being able to vote on taxes, so the law suit's assertion that we live in a Republic in which legislators should make taxing decisions isn't very popular. Kerr has outraised Summers in dollars, and it's hard to figure out the reasoning behind Summer's billboard on Hampden that focuses on education, since Summers is against Jeffco School's 3A/B, but right now, Summers probably has the edge. But if Kerr can get out his voters, this will go down to the very thin wire. Favors Summers
| a-Neutral | 0 | Senate | Registration
1+R
Performance
1.8+D
N-S middle to east Jeffco, Edgewater, Lakewood, Ken Caryl | A-Senate | Donors | $185,185.33 | $17,324.47 | State Personal | Votes | November 1: Kerr is spending a lot of money on voter canvassing. Put with Obama's, Pettersen's, and Parker's efforts, there's plenty of voter contact to get Kerr's voters out - about $12,500 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach plus thousands of calls by volunteers daily. He's also put $28,000 into mail to Summers' $15,000. But there's lots of outside mail hitting the district. These actions respond to Kerr's problems: it's flat out easier for Summers to get out his voters than it is for Kerr; and Kerr is facing his TABOR lawsuit "name in the game." Since Kerr's name is on the TABOR case title, that gives him a very high profile on the taxing issue. Lots of people like being able to vote on taxes, so the law suit's assertion that we live in a Republic in which legislators should make taxing decisions isn't very popular. Kerr has outraised Summers in dollars, and it's hard to figure out the reasoning behind Summer's billboard on Hampden that focuses on education, since Summers is against Jeffco School's 3A/B, but right now, Summers probably has the edge. But if Kerr can get out his voters, this will go down to the very thin wire. Favors Summers
|
Senate |
Summers, K. () |
|
Capitol Email: ken.summers.house@state.co.us   | Capitol Email: ken.summers.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2927, 303-989-4343 | Education, Health and Environment | November 1: Summers has been at a money disadvantage the whole election cycle, but he has some powerful advantages. The strength of his voters is in south Jeffco, especially the Ken Caryl Ranch and Valley areas. Lots of Republicans live there - in enough density to make it reasonably easy to walk. These Republicans are also eager to vote, and have a several thousand voter advantage over Dems in early voting. Summers also didn't sign up for the TABOR law suit, and his opponent did. Kerr is taking flak for that decision, and while he may not be shot down, it is a liability among Republicans who might otherwise lean to the Democrat in this election. Kerr is spending a lot of money to get his voters out and to offset the bad TABOR press. But he's been taking fire from the 527s and 501c4s whom both candidates have complained about. Kerr has attacked Summers on social issues to attract women voters. If Summers were perceived as more radical, that attack might hurt, but many see Summers as a softer, kinder Republican. The numbers may not quite be there for Kerr. Right now, it's advantage Summers.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | Senate | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 322 | | | $32,158.29 | 303-866-2927, 303-989-4343 | Education, Health and Environment | November 1: Summers has been at a money disadvantage the whole election cycle, but he has some powerful advantages. The strength of his voters is in south Jeffco, especially the Ken Caryl Ranch and Valley areas. Lots of Republicans live there - in enough density to make it reasonably easy to walk. These Republicans are also eager to vote, and have a several thousand voter advantage over Dems in early voting. Summers also didn't sign up for the TABOR law suit, and his opponent did. Kerr is taking flak for that decision, and while he may not be shot down, it is a liability among Republicans who might otherwise lean to the Democrat in this election. Kerr is spending a lot of money to get his voters out and to offset the bad TABOR press. But he's been taking fire from the 527s and 501c4s whom both candidates have complained about. Kerr has attacked Summers on social issues to attract women voters. If Summers were perceived as more radical, that attack might hurt, but many see Summers as a softer, kinder Republican. The numbers may not quite be there for Kerr. Right now, it's advantage Summers.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 322 | | University of Northern Colorado | $127,475.37 | University of Northern Colorado | $127,475.37 | State Personal | Votes | | University of Northern Colorado | $127,475.37 | $32,158.29 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $32,158.29 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 322 | | Capitol Email: ken.summers.house@state.co.us   | 303-866-2927, 303-989-4343 | Education, Health and Environment | November 1: Summers has been at a money disadvantage the whole election cycle, but he has some powerful advantages. The strength of his voters is in south Jeffco, especially the Ken Caryl Ranch and Valley areas. Lots of Republicans live there - in enough density to make it reasonably easy to walk. These Republicans are also eager to vote, and have a several thousand voter advantage over Dems in early voting. Summers also didn't sign up for the TABOR law suit, and his opponent did. Kerr is taking flak for that decision, and while he may not be shot down, it is a liability among Republicans who might otherwise lean to the Democrat in this election. Kerr is spending a lot of money to get his voters out and to offset the bad TABOR press. But he's been taking fire from the 527s and 501c4s whom both candidates have complained about. Kerr has attacked Summers on social issues to attract women voters. If Summers were perceived as more radical, that attack might hurt, but many see Summers as a softer, kinder Republican. The numbers may not quite be there for Kerr. Right now, it's advantage Summers.
| a-Neutral | 0 | Senate | Registration
1+R
Performance
1.8+D
N-S middle to east Jeffco, Edgewater, Lakewood, Ken Caryl | A-Senate | Donors | $127,475.37 | $32,158.29 | State Personal | Votes | November 1: Summers has been at a money disadvantage the whole election cycle, but he has some powerful advantages. The strength of his voters is in south Jeffco, especially the Ken Caryl Ranch and Valley areas. Lots of Republicans live there - in enough density to make it reasonably easy to walk. These Republicans are also eager to vote, and have a several thousand voter advantage over Dems in early voting. Summers also didn't sign up for the TABOR law suit, and his opponent did. Kerr is taking flak for that decision, and while he may not be shot down, it is a liability among Republicans who might otherwise lean to the Democrat in this election. Kerr is spending a lot of money to get his voters out and to offset the bad TABOR press. But he's been taking fire from the 527s and 501c4s whom both candidates have complained about. Kerr has attacked Summers on social issues to attract women voters. If Summers were perceived as more radical, that attack might hurt, but many see Summers as a softer, kinder Republican. The numbers may not quite be there for Kerr. Right now, it's advantage Summers.
|
Senate |
Kerber, D. () |
|
Capitol Email: dave@kerberforcolorado.com   | Capitol Email: dave@kerberforcolorado.com   | 303-961-9531, 720-244-0443 | | November 4: Newell outraised Kerber by 100%. That's a tough haul for a challenger in a Senate race. So while Kerber has put in lots of effort, he's probably not going to win. Newell has a slight voter performance advantage, incumbency and money. She will take this seat, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | Senate |  Personal | | 7101 East Berry Avenue | | | $43,450.97 | 303-961-9531, 720-244-0443 | | November 4: Newell outraised Kerber by 100%. That's a tough haul for a challenger in a Senate race. So while Kerber has put in lots of effort, he's probably not going to win. Newell has a slight voter performance advantage, incumbency and money. She will take this seat, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 7101 East Berry Avenue | | Duke Law School | $105,718.+$15,000.ln | Duke Law School | $105,718.+$15,000.ln |  Personal | | | Duke Law School | $105,718.+$15,000.ln | $43,450.97 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $43,450.97 | 7101 East Berry Avenue | | Capitol Email: dave@kerberforcolorado.com   | 303-961-9531, 720-244-0443 | | November 4: Newell outraised Kerber by 100%. That's a tough haul for a challenger in a Senate race. So while Kerber has put in lots of effort, he's probably not going to win. Newell has a slight voter performance advantage, incumbency and money. She will take this seat, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. | a-Neutral | N/A | Senate | Registration
.2+R
Performance
2.4+D
Aurora, Columbine, Englewood, Greenwood Village, Littleton, Sheridan, Cherry Hills Village | C-Senate | Donors | $105,718.+$15,000.ln | $43,450.97 |  Personal | | November 4: Newell outraised Kerber by 100%. That's a tough haul for a challenger in a Senate race. So while Kerber has put in lots of effort, he's probably not going to win. Newell has a slight voter performance advantage, incumbency and money. She will take this seat, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. |
Senate |
Newell, L. () ** |
|
Capitol Email: LINDA@SENLINDANEWELL.COM   | Capitol Email: LINDA@SENLINDANEWELL.COM   | 303-866-4846, 303-956-9448 | Health and Human Services, Transportation | November 4: Newell has doubled Kerber's fundraising, and she's been spending steadily all along. She put another $20,000+ into mail and $11,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. She has received strong support from Arapahoe County Dems and Obama has a comprehensive voter outreach program. All of this helps Newell. She will win this race, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | Senate | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 333 | | | $27,965.95 | 303-866-4846, 303-956-9448 | Health and Human Services, Transportation | November 4: Newell has doubled Kerber's fundraising, and she's been spending steadily all along. She put another $20,000+ into mail and $11,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. She has received strong support from Arapahoe County Dems and Obama has a comprehensive voter outreach program. All of this helps Newell. She will win this race, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. | a-Neutral | 0 | Donors | State Personal | Votes | 200 E. Colfax, Room 333 | | Univ. Of California, Irvine | $212,738.82 | Univ. Of California, Irvine | $212,738.82 | State Personal | Votes | | Univ. Of California, Irvine | $212,738.82 | $27,965.95 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $27,965.95 | 200 E. Colfax, Room 333 | | Capitol Email: LINDA@SENLINDANEWELL.COM   | 303-866-4846, 303-956-9448 | Health and Human Services, Transportation | November 4: Newell has doubled Kerber's fundraising, and she's been spending steadily all along. She put another $20,000+ into mail and $11,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. She has received strong support from Arapahoe County Dems and Obama has a comprehensive voter outreach program. All of this helps Newell. She will win this race, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. | a-Neutral | 0 | Senate | Registration
.2+R
Performance
2.4+D
Aurora, Columbine, Englewood, Greenwood Village, Littleton, Sheridan, Cherry Hills Village | C-Senate | Donors | $212,738.82 | $27,965.95 | State Personal | Votes | November 4: Newell has doubled Kerber's fundraising, and she's been spending steadily all along. She put another $20,000+ into mail and $11,000 to Rocky Mountain Voter Outreach. She has received strong support from Arapahoe County Dems and Obama has a comprehensive voter outreach program. All of this helps Newell. She will win this race, even if it's not by a lot. Newell wins. |
Senate |
Crowder, L. () |
|
Capitol Email: DMC@GOJADE.ORG   | Capitol Email: DMC@GOJADE.ORG   | 719-852-2289 | | November 4: Crowder has turned to mail to close out his race, with $21,000 in postcards and other mail. He's run an efficient campaign on the $67,000 he's ginned up. Martinez has more than doubled his money, giving her a leg up. She's very popular among state Democrats, and has spent much of her young political life working as a public servant. Crowder will have to make sure that every rancher in his district votes, along with spouses, children, and grandchildren. He then has to hope for a low turnout. Martinez needs to get her Dems out to vote and she can win. It's a presidential election year, so the big turnout will help Martinez. Advantage Martinez | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | Senate |  Personal | | 0777 N Road 102 | | | $6,666.08 | 719-852-2289 | | November 4: Crowder has turned to mail to close out his race, with $21,000 in postcards and other mail. He's run an efficient campaign on the $67,000 he's ginned up. Martinez has more than doubled his money, giving her a leg up. She's very popular among state Democrats, and has spent much of her young political life working as a public servant. Crowder will have to make sure that every rancher in his district votes, along with spouses, children, and grandchildren. He then has to hope for a low turnout. Martinez needs to get her Dems out to vote and she can win. It's a presidential election year, so the big turnout will help Martinez. Advantage Martinez | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | 0777 N Road 102 | | Army Veteran | $69,115.00 | Army Veteran | $69,115.00 |  Personal | | | Army Veteran | $69,115.00 | $6,666.08 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $6,666.08 | 0777 N Road 102 | | Capitol Email: DMC@GOJADE.ORG   | 719-852-2289 | | November 4: Crowder has turned to mail to close out his race, with $21,000 in postcards and other mail. He's run an efficient campaign on the $67,000 he's ginned up. Martinez has more than doubled his money, giving her a leg up. She's very popular among state Democrats, and has spent much of her young political life working as a public servant. Crowder will have to make sure that every rancher in his district votes, along with spouses, children, and grandchildren. He then has to hope for a low turnout. Martinez needs to get her Dems out to vote and she can win. It's a presidential election year, so the big turnout will help Martinez. Advantage Martinez | a-Neutral | N/A | Senate | Registration
4.4+D
Performance
3.8+R
SE corner of state, Mineral Cty to Baca Cty | D-Senate | Donors | $69,115.00 | $6,666.08 |  Personal | | November 4: Crowder has turned to mail to close out his race, with $21,000 in postcards and other mail. He's run an efficient campaign on the $67,000 he's ginned up. Martinez has more than doubled his money, giving her a leg up. She's very popular among state Democrats, and has spent much of her young political life working as a public servant. Crowder will have to make sure that every rancher in his district votes, along with spouses, children, and grandchildren. He then has to hope for a low turnout. Martinez needs to get her Dems out to vote and she can win. It's a presidential election year, so the big turnout will help Martinez. Advantage Martinez |
Senate |
Martinez, C. () |
|
   |    | 719-588-0673 | | November 4: Martinez got out some mail, not as much as Crowder. But she has a huge pot of money left to spend on whatever she wants - GOTV, radio, mail, etc. She has support up and down the valley. Advantage Martinez | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors | Senate |  Personal | | P.O. Box 66 | | | $68,316.44 | 719-588-0673 | | November 4: Martinez got out some mail, not as much as Crowder. But she has a huge pot of money left to spend on whatever she wants - GOTV, radio, mail, etc. She has support up and down the valley. Advantage Martinez | a-Neutral | N/A | Donors |  Personal | | P.O. Box 66 | | Colorado College | $142,439.89 | Colorado College | $142,439.89 |  Personal | | | Colorado College | $142,439.89 | $68,316.44 | | Senate | Senate | Donors | $68,316.44 | P.O. Box 66 | |    | 719-588-0673 | | November 4: Martinez got out some mail, not as much as Crowder. But she has a huge pot of money left to spend on whatever she wants - GOTV, radio, mail, etc. She has support up and down the valley. Advantage Martinez | a-Neutral | N/A | Senate | Registration
4.4+D
Performance
3.8+R
SE corner of state, Mineral Cty to Baca Cty | D-Senate | Donors | $142,439.89 | $68,316.44 |  Personal | | November 4: Martinez got out some mail, not as much as Crowder. But she has a huge pot of money left to spend on whatever she wants - GOTV, radio, mail, etc. She has support up and down the valley. Advantage Martinez |
|